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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
| Choose a different matchup: |
MERTHYR TOWN vs. RUGBY TOWN
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
| The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.
A historical comparison of Merthyr Town's and Rugby Town's ELO scores.
| Merthyr Town | Rugby Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score: | 2954.1 | 2709.8 |
| Best ELO Score: | 3670 Saturday, September 3, 1921 |
2976.9 Saturday, September 25, 2004 |
| Worst ELO Score: | 2756.2 Saturday, February 19, 2022 |
2700 Monday, April 5, 2010 |
A summary of all historical matches between Merthyr Town and Rugby Town.
| Venue | Played | Merthyr Town wins |
Draws | Rugby Town wins |
Merthyr Town goals |
Rugby Town goals |
Merthyr Town SR% |
Rugby Town SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| HOME | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| AWAY | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 FEB 2010 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2949) |
1 - 1 | Rugby Town (2725) |
6.5 |
| 14 NOV 2009 | CONF | Rugby Town (2747) |
1 - 4 | Merthyr Tydfil (2949) |
10.1 |
| 4 APR 2009 | CONF | Rugby Town (2841) |
3 - 0 | Merthyr Tydfil (2938) |
20 |
| 29 NOV 2008 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2981) |
3 - 3 | Rugby Town (2830) |
5.2 |
| 15 DEC 2007 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2874) |
2 - 1 | Rugby Town (2856) |
8.1 |
| 24 NOV 2007 | CONF | Rugby Town (2861) |
3 - 3 | Merthyr Tydfil (2883) |
0.8 |
| 17 FEB 2007 | CONF | Rugby Town (2842) |
2 - 0 | Merthyr Tydfil (2920) |
16.1 |
| 19 AUG 2006 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2932) |
2 - 1 | Rugby Town (2882) |
7.2 |
| 26 NOV 2005 | CONF | Rugby Town (2867) |
1 - 0 | Merthyr Tydfil (3007) |
12.4 |
| 20 AUG 2005 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2996) |
1 - 1 | Rugby Town (2889) |
4.4 |
| 5 MAR 2005 | CONF | Rugby United (2883) |
0 - 2 | Merthyr Tydfil (2970) |
13.8 |
| 28 AUG 2004 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2926) |
2 - 1 | Rugby United (2925) |
8.3 |